USARBUSDT
Stock instrument · execution via BinanceAlgorithmic Strategy Analysis for USAR · USA Rare Earth, Inc. (15m)
In-depth quantitative evaluation of the USARB 0 +1583.65% 1TRAD-PUR8 algorithmic model for USAR on the 15-minute timeframe. Ranked 1st on DevioLab with a score of 72.95, this system delivered a 100% win rate across a compact historical trade sample.
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Strategy profile
The algorithmic model designated as USARB 0 +1583.65% 1TRAD-PUR8 is configured specifically for trading shares of USA Rare Earth, Inc. (ticker USAR) on the 15-minute timeframe. Within the DevioLab quantitative evaluation framework, this system ranks 1st for the ticker, earning a DevioLab Score of 72.95 out of 100. It is designated as a core independent best selection for this asset. The backtest dataset spans from March 14, 2025, to August 18, 2026, representing approximately 1.43 years of price history. Over this timeframe, the model achieved an aggregate historical cumulative profit of 1583.65% in the stock market domain.
Trading rhythm and position duration
A defining characteristic of this strategy is its selective trading frequency. Over the 1.43-year historical window, the algorithm completed only 6 trades, translating to an annualized rate of roughly 4.19 trades per year. Despite utilizing a 15-minute chart interval, the strategy avoids high-frequency noise and intraday churn, executing entries only when stringent structural criteria are met. Specific metrics for average and median holding hours are not populated in the source statistical set; however, the low trade count clearly establishes this model as a selective positional filter rather than an active trading system.
Quality of historical results
Across all 6 historical trades, the algorithm achieved a 100% win rate, recording zero losing trades. The average trade gain reached +62.93%, while the median trade return stood at +66.40%. The single best trade captured a +91.79% gain, and the worst trade still generated a positive return of +15.03%. The profit factor is recorded at 4.5. Profit concentration is notable, with the top 3 winning trades generating 69.91% of total gross gains, highlighting the model's capacity to extract maximum return from major directional moves.
Risk, drawdown and losing behavior
Because no closed trades resulted in a loss over the analyzed period, the maximum historical drawdown is reported at 0%. The longest winning streak stands at 6 trades, while the longest losing streak is 0. While a zero drawdown and 100% win rate represent strong backtest performance, investors must recognize that small sample sizes carry inherent statistical variability. Future market conditions will inevitably introduce drawdowns and losing trades that were not observed during this specific testing window.
Behavior through time and yearly stability
The evaluation timeframe spans 1.43 years, and no yearly breakdown array is populated in the dataset. Total returns were accumulated between March 2025 and August 2026. Rather than relying on constant trade volume to generate steady returns, the algorithm derives its performance from sporadic, high-conviction entries. Assessing multi-year stability across varying macroeconomic regimes will require expanding the historical window as more live market data becomes available.
Strengths and limitations
The primary strengths of this model include exceptional entry precision, a 100% historical win rate, zero peak-to-trough drawdown in the tested period, and a substantial average return per trade of +62.93%. The key limitation lies in the small sample size of 6 total trades over 1.43 years. While the results reflect strong alignment with USAR price dynamics, statistical conclusions drawn from small sample sizes must be treated with appropriate analytical caution.
DevioLab analytical conclusion
The USARB 0 +1583.65% 1TRAD-PUR8 strategy offers a compelling quantitative benchmark for USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) on the 15m timeframe. Ranked 1st on DevioLab with a score of 72.95, it appeals to quantitative traders seeking high-gain, low-frequency position captures. DevioLab recommends monitoring live execution performance to verify whether the algorithm maintains its high accuracy as trade count expands.
Data scope and methodology
All figures presented in this research report are derived from historical backtest simulations of closed trades for USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) between March 14, 2025, and August 18, 2026. Simulated historical performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is provided for technical strategy research and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.